No, UK weather is not being manipulated (2024)

June's weather may have felt erratic at times - but for some social media users, there was nothing random about it. They wrongly blamed it on "weather manipulation" and "geoengineering". Others accused weather presenters of "hiding the truth" from the public.

Much of June experienced temperatures about 2C (3.6F) lower than average, external, due to colder air coming from the Arctic.

That was reversed in the last week of the month as warmer air moved in, bringing the UK temperature closer to normal, but still 0.4C colder than average.

Combined with one of the wettest winters in recent years, this has left many wondering what is going on with the British weather.

But not all possible explanations circulating on social media are grounded in scientific evidence.

To some users, the recent cooler weather suggests climate change may not be real. But short-term weather events are not representative of long-term climate trends in the UK.

And recent decades have also proved warmer, wetter, and sunnier, external than those in the 20th Century, as the climate continues to change, external.

But among those who deny the existence of climate change, an alternative theory has been gaining momentum. It alleges that the government is supposedly controlling both weather and climate for sinister purposes.

Variations of this narrative have been circulating online for years, but in the aftermath of unusual weather events it tends to resurface on all major social media platforms.

By using social media analytics tools, BBC Verify found that conversation around these topics has been gaining momentum this year.

Since January, mentions of #GeoEngineering on X more than doubled worldwide, compared with the last six months of 2023.

BBC Verify found thousands of tweets spreading falsehoods and conspiracy theories.

These claims often lump together processes that are largely different from each other, such as weather modification and geoengineering.

The most well-known form of weather modification is cloud seeding - a technique through which tiny particles are released into existing clouds to produce rain or snow.

Cloud seeding has been around for decades, and has been deployed in places like the US, China and the United Arab Emirates, mostly to help tackle water shortages.

On social media, some users have claimed that high levels of rainfall across the UK could only be explained by the deployment of cloud seeding on an industrial scale.

This is false.

On a rapidly warming planet, warm air is able to hold more moisture, which in turn fuels more intense rainfall.

Climate change may not be the only factor behind the UK’s waterlogged winter, but it has certainly played an important role in it.

While the UK government funded cloud seeding experiments in the 1950s, external, the Met Office says it is not aware of any activity connected to weather modification taking place in the UK in recent years.

In addition to that, cloud seeding can only have small, targeted impacts. It does not affect long-term weather or the climate.

That is where the idea of geoengineering comes in.

Geoengineering is an umbrella term most commonly used to describe attempts to manipulate the environment, with the goal of reducing the effects of climate change.

Under current climate policies, the Earth is likely to heat up by more than 1.5C in the next few decades, breaching a key climate threshold.

As the clock ticks away, some scientists believe governments should be looking into alternative methods of cooling the Earth.

This could involve capturing and removing greenhouse gases from the atmosphere - something the UK is actively researching.

But there is no evidence to suggest that removing gases like carbon dioxide has any impact on short-term weather.

Cooling the Earth could also be achieved through solar radiation management - a process through which some of the Sun's energy that reaches Earth is reflected back into space.

The Department for Energy Security and Net Zero says the UK government is “not deploying solar radiation management” and that it has “no plans to do so”.

And yet, some social media users claim, without evidence, that a cover-up is taking place - one in which BBC Weather and other forecasters are playing a key role (or so those users allege).

“Imagine watching the geoengineers at work, and you report the weather without telling the truth about what really is going on,” wrote one user on X. “That is sick!”

Many of these users were also found to frequently tweet about “chemtrails”, a widely debunked conspiracy theory about a secretive plot to spray people with dangerous chemicals.

The Royal Meteorological Society condemns the abuse weather forecasters have been receiving - which, it says, can have chilling effects.

“We work very closely with young scientists to encourage them to share their science with the public,” says Prof Liz Bentley, chief executive of the Royal Meteorological Society. “But they are fearful of the trolling that might take place.”

Others argue that it may also affect research into geoengineering, as potential donors may be reluctant to put their money into projects the public may perceive as “controversial”.

“A lot of funders are very sceptical of funding research,” says Dr Ramit Debnath, an assistant professor at the University of Cambridge, who investigated how online conversations about geoengineering have been hijacked by conspiracy theories.

“It’s this whole idea that someone is trying to control our natural resources, our environment - and that, through that intervention, we are trying to control or take away people’s freedom,” he says.

No, UK weather is not being manipulated (2024)

FAQs

Why is the weather in the UK so unpredictable? ›

Dr Helen Czerski explains how cold polar air from the north and warmer air from the Tropics push against each other to create the UK's changeable weather and unpredictable winters.

Is the weather in the UK changeable? ›

The UK and Ireland have seen shifts of rainfall, gusty conditions, small breaks of clear sky, even snow to start the month. Why is our weather so changeable? There are two main factors that influence our weather: our location and our air masses. The UK and Ireland are located between a huge ocean and a large landmass.

Why is UK weather bad at moment? ›

The current weather in the UK can be attributed to a strong jet stream in the Atlantic, which is contributing to the changeable nature of the weather from late June into early July.

Can weather report manipulate the weather? ›

Weather Report's hom*onymous Stand affords him a great degree of control over the weather, and/or the atmosphere. His Stand also has an ability named Heavy Weather which alters the refractive angle of the sun's rays entering earth's atmosphere to create a natural subliminal effect.

What is unusual about the weather in UK? ›

Extreme cold spells can occur during the UK winter. Extremely cold weather can bring heavy snow and ice, creating dangerous walking and driving conditions.

Which country has a similar climate to the UK? ›

England, and Ireland have similar climates, being neighbours. The Faeroe Islands have a similar climate to Shetland. The far north of Japan and the Falkland islands are also not that far away climatically.

Why is British weather so variable? ›

Britain's unique weather is all down to the fact it is an island and where it's positioned on the planet, between the Atlantic Ocean and a large land mass, continental Europe. The weather of the UK is very changeable because it is affected by a number of different air masses.

Is the UK more humid than Europe? ›

Humidity is one reason, explained the Met Office. The UK has a higher level of humidity than the European continent and “it is harder for the human body to keep cool as your sweat doesn't evaporate as quickly.”

Why is the weather so rubbish in the UK? ›

Met Office Deputy Chief Meteorologist David Hayter said: 'The position of the jet stream, which is a ribbon of air high up in the atmosphere, is often the driving force behind the weather we experience in the UK.

Is Britain's weather getting worse? ›

Climate change is causing warming across the UK. All of the UK's ten warmest years on record have occurred since 2002. Heatwaves, like that of summer 2018, are now 30 times more likely to happen due to climate change.

Will summer 2024 be hot in the UK? ›

In fact, most established predictions indicate that, on the whole, Summer 2024 is going to be nice and warm this year. This comes off the back of April 2024 being the 11th month in a row to be the hottest on record.

Does the UK do cloud seeding? ›

While the UK government funded cloud seeding experiments in the 1950s , the Met Office says it is not aware of any activity connected to weather modification taking place in the UK in recent years. In addition to that, cloud seeding can only have small, targeted impacts.

What chemicals are in cloud seeding? ›

The most common chemicals used for cloud seeding include silver iodide, potassium iodide and dry ice (solid carbon dioxide). Liquid propane, which expands into a gas, has also been used. It can produce ice crystals at higher temperatures than silver iodide.

What are the negative effects of cloud seeding? ›

While we don't know specifically if cloud seeding poses a threat, some experts believe that it could lead to silver toxicity and environmental concerns if the practice becomes common on a much larger scale. Similarly, people worry that cloud seeding could throw off earth's natural balance of moisture.

Is the weather predictable in the UK? ›

Although UK weather is unpredictable, it is rarely extreme. In summer, the average temperature ranges from 9–18 degrees Celsius (48–64 degrees Fahrenheit).

Why is the UK weather so extreme? ›

Sea levels around the UK have risen significantly, particularly over the past 30 years. Additionally, changes in sunshine and wind patterns have been noted, with 2022 being notably sunny. Extreme weather events, like the unprecedented heatwave and significant storms, highlight the trend towards more extreme conditions.

Why is New England weather unpredictable? ›

But why is New England's weather so unpredictable? A significant factor is its location. Positioned between the warm Gulf Stream to the south and cold Canadian air masses to the north, New England often finds itself at the crossroads of these contrasting conditions.

Why does hot weather in the UK feel so bad? ›

In addition to the fact that buildings in the UK aren't designed with hot weather in mind (in fact, many of them are designed to keep heat in, explaining why so many homes feel stuffy at this time of year), the reason why so many of us suffer in the UK could be down to the way we approach a hot day at home compared to ...

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